Solution to Management Science Series #184: Using options in assessing feasibility of mergers and acquisitions 🧠

Using options in assessing feasibility of mergers and acquisitions 🧠

There are two toy companies whose products fundamentally differ and cater to very different segments and targets. One is called Robotformers producing and marketing robots to boys within the 12-15 age group. And the other is called Cindy producing and marketing figures to girls within the 9-11 age group.

Toy industry is known to have risky cash flows exposed to very different factors. If the two companies were to merge, the combined company would have a much more stable cash flow and diversify away some of the risk, making the bankruptcy of both companies less likely.

So, the operations of both firms are very different and the proposed merger is a purely financial merger in which there are no synergies and other value-creating possibilities. Only gain from this merger would be the reduction of the default risk. The premerger information is being shared.

Using Black-Scholes option pricing model and the appropriate risk-free rate, calculate the market value of equity and debt for both companies before the merger.

Assuming that the merger will lead to diversification effect and the post-merger asset return standard deviation is estimated to be 48% and utilizing Black-Scholes again, calculate the market value of equity and debt for the combined firm.

Between stockholders and bondholders, who would benefit the most from this merger? Quantify the benefit/loss to each party.

Solution to Management Science Series #183: Stocks and Bonds as Options 🧮 Banzai Toy Company

You found a new toy company called Banzai that would produce and market state-of-the-art action figures with high articulation. Luckily, you won a contract through which Banzai was trusted the license to produce and market toys for the video game ‘The Legend of Sarah’.

Banzai could sell these toys for a single year, i.e. the next year, after which Banzai will cease operations and be disbanded. Banzai has issued debt to help finance this venture. Interest and principal due on the debt next year will be $450M, at which time the debt will be paid off in full.

Banzai’s cash flows next year are being shared.

Each scenario is equally likely to occur. Plot the payoff table for both the bondholders and stockholders!

Assess the position of both parties in terms of options; who are the option holders and writers and what kind of an option do they possess or have they written/sold?

Solution to Management Science Series #182: Checking the reliability of Black-Scholes through a real-world example #2🧠Walmart Example

Value the call option ‘WMT250620C00046670’, by using Black-Scholes as of the 10th of January 2025.

Will a rational investor buy this option?

In order to duplicate the call, how much of a share of stock do you need to purchase and how much do you need to borrow?

Solution to Management Science Series #181: Checking the reliability of Black-Scholes through a real-world example 🧠Ebay Example

Checking the reliability of Black-Scholes through a real-world example 🧠

Value the call option ‘EBAY250919C00045000’, by using Black-Scholes as of the 10th of January 2025.

Will a rational investor buy this option?

In order to duplicate the call, how much of a share of stock do you need to purchase and how much do you need to borrow?

Solution to Management Science Series #180: Combinations of Options 🧮Tesla Example

Combinations of Options 🧮

You wanted to invest in Tesla stock and also follow a protective put strategy.

Your advisors recommend that you buy the contract ‘TSLA241129P00285000’.

Plot the payoff to the combination of buying the put contract and buying the underlying stock.

Note: Solution of this question, as well as those of all the questions asked so far, is shared on my website.

Solution to Management Science Series #179: Basics of Option Pricing 🧱

Find the contract ‘COST241108C00780000’.

Decipher the contract name and define the characteristics of this option.

Plot the payoff diagram of both the option holder and the option seller!

Also create a single plot demonstrating both positions!

GameStop (GME) Part 1: Financial Mechanics explained

In this paper, I will explain why such a pricing irregularity concerning the value of the GameStop’s stock happened and it happened fast although the buildup was manifest to the trained eye. Obviously, GameStop may not be on your radar considering the current state of the company, the size of its market cap and shares floating, and disruptions faced by retailers alike; however, the financial mechanics here are relatively complex and understanding them will make you more prepared for similar cases that very likely will happen in the future.
In the 2nd part of this series, against the backdrop of part 1, I will elaborate further on lessons that must be learned by retail investors and how this saga may end.