Using options in assessing feasibility of mergers and acquisitions ðŸ§
There are two toy companies whose products fundamentally differ and cater to very different segments and targets. One is called Robotformers producing and marketing robots to boys within the 12-15 age group. And the other is called Cindy producing and marketing figures to girls within the 9-11 age group.
Toy industry is known to have risky cash flows exposed to very different factors. If the two companies were to merge, the combined company would have a much more stable cash flow and diversify away some of the risk, making the bankruptcy of both companies less likely.
So, the operations of both firms are very different and the proposed merger is a purely financial merger in which there are no synergies and other value-creating possibilities. Only gain from this merger would be the reduction of the default risk. The premerger information is being shared.
Using Black-Scholes option pricing model and the appropriate risk-free rate, calculate the market value of equity and debt for both companies before the merger.
Assuming that the merger will lead to diversification effect and the post-merger asset return standard deviation is estimated to be 48% and utilizing Black-Scholes again, calculate the market value of equity and debt for the combined firm.
Between stockholders and bondholders, who would benefit the most from this merger? Quantify the benefit/loss to each party.
